conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Deepfake Attempt in Major News in 2023 | When will GPT5 be announced? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: - | |
| My Prediction: - |
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 18 May 2024 | — |
| median | 25 Aug 2024 | — |
| upper 75% | 10 Feb 2025 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >15 May 2026 | 6.3% | — |
What was the final result? 07 Aug 2025
Community Peer Score
14.7
Community Baseline Score
-3.1
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:May 15, 2026
Authors:
Opened:Mar 15, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:May 15, 2026