Question

Will Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations with Israel before January 20, 2025?

Resolved:No

39 comments39

Total Forecasters217

Community Prediction

0.2%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

65.8

Community Peer Score

16.7

Authors:

guff

Opened:

Aug 6, 2023

Closes:

Jan 19, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 20, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Aug 7, 2023

Israel-Gaza Conflict

Geopolitics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

Iran victory gives Trump the chance to reshape Mid East with trade deals

New York Post•Jun 25, 2025

Saudi Arabia Watches Iran-Israel Conflict Nervously – But at a Distance, for Now

Breitbart•Jun 21, 2025

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