22 forecasters

Will these AI labs publish a report with results from external red-teaming of their models for safety by June 30, 2024?

Inflectionresult: No

Metaresult: No

OpenAIresult: No

Inflection

Meta

OpenAI

Authors:

dschwarz Lawrence

Opened:

Jul 24, 2023

Closes:

Jun 30, 2024

Resolved:

Jul 2, 2024

Artificial Intelligence

🏆 2021-2025 Leaderboard

AI researchers ’embodied’ an LLM into a robot – and it started channeling Robin Williams

TechCrunch•Nov 1, 2025

ChatGPT: Everything you need to know about the AI chatbot

TechCrunch•Nov 1, 2025

The Validation Machines

Atlantic•Oct 31, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind

Will the CEO of OpenAI, Meta, or Alphabet (Google) publicly commit to specific limitations on their company’s AI system autonomy before January 1, 2027?

Will there be a leading AI lab with no internal safety team in the following years?