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6 forecasters
4
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6 forecasters
Artificial Intelligence
condition

Frontier AI lab in China before 2026?

Resolved:Yes
6 forecasters
if yes
if no

Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known

19 Apr 2026

Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known

23 Nov 2025
Resolved:Annulled
Forecast Timeline
if Yes19 Apr 2026
if No23 Nov 2025
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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