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Authors:
Opened:Dec 16, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 19, 2023
Five years after AGI, will human mind uploading have happened?
1% chance
76
Will human brain emulation be the first successful route to human-level digital intelligence?
1% chance
434
After a (weak) AGI is created, how many months will it be before the first superintelligent AI is created?
36.4 months
(9.73 - 164)
36.4 months
(9.73 - 164)
332 forecasters