Question
Will a large language model (LLM) that is at least as capable as original GPT-4 be widely available for download before January 1st, 2025?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters107
Community Prediction
99%
(92% - 99.9%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Peer Score
5.0
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 29, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Sep 28, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 29, 2023