14 comments
92 forecasters
Will the EU AI Act implement regulations on foundation models?
99%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 99% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Oct 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Resolved:Jul 12, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 13, 2023
Will the US pass a federal bill on AI regulation before January 1, 2026?
1% chance
162
Before 2028, will powerful open-source AI be regulated more tightly than closed-source AI, through newly-enacted US law?
72% chance
65
Will a federal law, regulation, or executive order mandating safety checks for AI models be enacted, issued, or adopted in the United States before January 20, 2029?
25% chance
114