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Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 29
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| Year | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | no | |||
2028 | 30% | |||
2026 | 25% | |||
2025 | 18% | |||
Resolved Dec 31, 2023
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91.8
Community Peer Score
6.8
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