Group
Will there be a frontier open-source AI model on January 1 of the following years?
Make a Prediction
| Year | My Prediction | Me | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
2028 | 60% | |||
2024 | no | |||
2025 | yes | |||
2026 | 70% | |||
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
Total Forecasters 95
Authors:
Opened:Oct 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
Authors:
Opened:Oct 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2028
