Question

Will there be 400 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2024?

Resolved:No
11
33
Total Forecasters129
Community Prediction
1%
(0.8% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score
30.0
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Oct 13, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 9, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 13, 2023
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Geopolitics
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