Question
How many Palestinian fatalities in the West Bank will be caused by Israeli forces before July 1, 2024?
Resolved:519Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
555
(468 - 795)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <50 | 1.9% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 468.2 | — |
| median | 555.2 | — |
| upper 75% | 794.7 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >10k | 1.7% | — |
What was the final result?519
Community Baseline Score
58.6
Community Peer Score
29.3
Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2023
Closes:Jun 30, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 4, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Nov 1, 2023
Closes:Jun 30, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2026
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 4, 2023
