🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will any OpenAI or Anthropic model be in the top-10 model with a non-proprietary license on May 31, 2024?

Resolved :No2%
4
2
Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction2% (1% - 3%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 2%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
89.6
Community Peer Score
10.4
Authors:
PhilippSchoenegger
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Global Pulse Tournament
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2021-2025 Leaderboard
OpenAI
Anthropic

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