Question
Will at least 500,000 Palestinians be displaced from Gaza before December 31st, 2025?
Total Forecasters72
Community Prediction
18%
(10% - 25%)
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2023
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
8%
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
10%
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
1.4%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 24, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2023
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
8%
Will the Gaza war end and significant progress be made towards a two-state solution to the Israel-Palestine conflict before January 1, 2030?
10%
Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?
1.4%