Question
Will armed conflict between Vietnam and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
Total Forecasters20
Community Prediction
12%
(5% - 24.3%)
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Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jul 31, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2024
Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
15%
Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
67%
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
5%
Authors:
Opened:Dec 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jul 31, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 2, 2024
Will armed conflict between the Philippines and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
15%
Will armed conflict between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) cause at least 100 deaths before 2050?
67%
Will armed conflicts between the Republic of China (Taiwan) and the People's Republic of China (PRC) lead to at least 100 deaths before 2026?
5%