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8
29
forecasters
4
8 comments
29 forecasters
Nuclear Risk Horizons Project
4 more...
condition
2024 US Presidential Election Winner?
Resolved:
Yes
29 forecasters
if yes
if no
10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?
75%
75%
10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?
61%
61%
Resolved:
Annulled
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Forecast Timeline
if Yes
75%
if No
60.6%
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Comments (8)
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10 or More Nuclear-Armed States by 2035?