Question
Will there be 10 or more armed forces conflict deaths between India and Pakistan in 2024?
Resolved:NoTotal Forecasters437
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 3%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?No
Community Peer Score
23.7
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?
21%
Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
99.9%
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
26%
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024
Will there be at least 1,000 deaths due to direct conflict between India and Pakistan before 2027?
21%
Will armed conflicts between India and Pakistan lead to at least 100 deaths before 2050?
99.9%
Will state-based conflict between Afghanistan and Pakistan cause at least 1,000 deaths in a single year before 2070?
26%