Question

Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?

Resolved:No
Total Forecasters506
Community Prediction
1%
(0.1% - 2%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
89.3
Community Peer Score
25.2
Authors:
Opened:Jan 1, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 1, 2024