37 forecasters

Will there be a frontier Chinese AI model before 2027?

81%chance

81%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 81% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 11, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2026

Resolved:

Feb 15, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 14, 2024

Chinese AI Chips

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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