Question

When will the average five-year survival rate of all cancers exceed 95%?

Total Forecasters19
Community Prediction
Feb 2054
(Nov 2043 - May 2063)

Make a Prediction

PDF

CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<14 Jan 20242.2%
Quartiles
lower 25%Nov 2043
medianFeb 2054
upper 75%May 2063
Upper bound
>21002.4%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Jan 20, 2024
Closes:Jun 18, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 23, 2024