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7 comments
19 forecasters

How many times will “artificial intelligence” be mentioned in White House Press Briefings in 2024?

community
20.5
result
19
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
odelaneyPeterWildeford
Opened:Feb 14, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2025
Resolved:Jan 1, 2025
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 17, 2024
Regulation of AI
Politics
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2024 Leaderboard

When will concern about artificial intelligence go mainstream in the United States?

14 Aug 2026
(11 Sep 2025 13:46 - 31 Dec 2027)
14 Aug 2026
(11 Sep 2025 13:46 - 31 Dec 2027)
74 forecasters

Will a U.S. President’s State of the Union address mention the issue of AI existential risk before the listed year?

2025
No
2030
40%
2040
66.7%
62 forecasters

When will a sitting US President make a declaration about AI that meets the following criterion?

AI theft force
Feb 2038
AI theft sanctions
04 Jan 2027
AI as WMDs
23 Jan 2026
1 other
15 forecasters
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