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12 comments
31 forecasters

Will controlled AI chips be smuggled into China through any of the following countries before 2026?

Vietnam85%
Singaporeresult: Yes
Taiwan70%
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Authors:
RyanBeckDerMannOhneEigenschaften
Opened:Jan 27, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Feb 1, 2026
Chinese AI Chips
AI in China
Technology
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2024-2025 Leaderboard
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Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2028?

OVH
16%
Microsoft Azure
14%
Google Cloud
12%
1 other
29 forecasters

Will the following major cloud providers buy AI accelerators designed by a Chinese firm before 2028?

OVH
27%
Microsoft Azure
5%
Amazon Web Services
5%
1 other
38 forecasters

Will any of the following Western AI chip makers have any of their AI accelerators fabricated in China before 2033?

AMD
5%
Nvidia
5%
Google
5%
35 forecasters
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