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Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

8
14
61 forecasters

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AI labMe
Google DeepMind
50%
Microsoft
25%
Meta
14%
xAI
11%
Amazon
10%
Apple
7%
Mistral AI
6%
Perplexity AI
5%
Hugging Face
5%
Cohere
5%
DeepSeek
4.5%
Inflection
4%
Alibaba
4%
AI21
4%
C3.ai
4%
IBM
3%
Baidu
1%
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026