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Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

8
14
62 forecasters

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AI labMe
Google DeepMind
40.3%
Microsoft
26%
Amazon
11%
xAI
10%
Meta
9%
Apple
6%
Hugging Face
6%
Inflection
5%
Baidu
5%
AI21
5%
C3.ai
5%
Cohere
5%
Mistral AI
5%
IBM
4%
Perplexity AI
4%
DeepSeek
3%
Alibaba
3%
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 12, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2026
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2026