63 forecasters

Will leading AI labs have their models evaluated for dangerous behavior before 2026?

Google DeepMind20%

Microsoft4%

Amazon3%

Google DeepMind

Microsoft

Amazon

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 12, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2026

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2026

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

🏆 2024-2025 Leaderboard

It's tech's biggest earnings day. What top analysts are looking for in Microsoft, Meta and Alphabet results

CNBC•Oct 30, 2025

OpenAI has an AGI problem — and Microsoft just made it worse

Verge•Oct 29, 2025

Big Tech firms spending trillions on superintelligence systems are playing 'Russian roulette' with humanity, an AI pioneer says

Business Insider•Oct 29, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch