6 comments
99 forecasters
Will we reach 2050 without the development of artificial general intelligence and without a major global conflict occurring?
5%chance
Authors:
Opened:Jan 31, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 3, 2024
Will the world remain "normal" through 2030, according to specified criteria?
70% chance
126
Will Metaculus predict that artificial intelligence continues to pose a global catastrophic risk by 2040?
85% chance
147
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
35% chance
413