Question
Will there be 1000 or more deaths due to armed conflict between Israel and Hezbollah before 2025?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters171
Community Prediction
99%
(99% - 99%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
-1.9
Community Peer Score
8.0
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 4, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Feb 2, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Dec 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Feb 4, 2024
