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3
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45
forecasters
Will China occupy Kinmen or Matsu before 2028?
38%
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Authors:
Cato
Opened:
Mar 6, 2024
Closes:
Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 1, 2028
Spot Scoring Time:
Mar 9, 2024
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
News Match
China Uses UN to Advance Biggest Territorial Claim
Newsweek
•
Oct 2, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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