Question

Will China make an official statement before 2030 saying that it has disavowed use of force as a means for reunification with Taiwan?

2
1
Total Forecasters25
Community Prediction
0.1%
(0.1% - 3.4%)

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50%
community: 0.1%
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Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:Apr 18, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2030
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 23, 2024
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics