5 comments
40 forecasters
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that India's average fertility rate for 2032 & 2033 will be < 2.0?
95%chance
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 21, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 24, 2024
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that real gross world product will not exceed 130% of its previous yearly peak for any single year by January 1, 2043?
82% chance
43
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the college enrollment rate will be greater than 26.6% in 2025?
99% chance
62
Will Bryan Caplan win his bet that the global temperature will not rise more than 0.05C between 2015 and 2029?
0.1% chance
61