Question
When will an AI agent be able to win Portal 2 on its first run?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
30 Jul 2029
(01 Mar 2027 - Apr 2033)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 01 Mar 2027 | — |
| median | 30 Jul 2029 | — |
| upper 75% | Apr 2033 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 3.3% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2024
Authors:
Opened:May 24, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:May 27, 2024
