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conditional
conditional
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US SLCM 2030
Resolved :
Yes
if yes
if no
US-China war before 2035?
10%
10%
US-China war before 2035?
4%
4%
Resolved :
Annulled
1
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Make a Prediction
US SLCM 2030
US-China war before 2035?
if yes
My Prediction:
—
if no
My Prediction:
—
community: 10%
community: 4%
Forecast Timeline
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Parent Question Background Info
Child Question Background Info
Histogram
Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
China–US trade war
South China Sea
China
Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty
Congressional Research Service
Taiwan Strait
United States
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Authors:
will_aldred
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
The Taiwan Tinderbox
Geopolitics
Nuclear Technology & Risks
China–US trade war
South China Sea
China
Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty
Congressional Research Service
Taiwan Strait
United States
Submit Tags Feedback
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