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16 forecasters
1
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16 forecasters
The Taiwan Tinderbox
condition

China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?

16 forecasters
if yes
if no

2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

75%
75%

2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?

66%
66%
Forecast Timeline
if Yes75%
if No66%
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