Question

Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024?

Resolved:Yes
Total Forecasters235
Community Prediction
99%
(96% - 99.8%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 99%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score
38.4
Community Peer Score
17.3
Authors:
Opened:Apr 11, 2024
Closes:May 31, 2024
Resolves:May 31, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 12, 2024