Question

Will a clinical trial begin by the end of 2017 using CRISPR to genetically modify a living human?

Resolved :Yes

22 comments22

Total Forecasters167

Community Prediction

52%

(25% - 71%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 52%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-31.9

Community Peer Score

9.0

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Nov 11, 2015

Closes:

Jun 7, 2016

Resolves:

Jun 7, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 13, 2015

Leber congenital amaurosis

FOX News•Mar 22, 2025

Breakthrough for baby with rare illness in world-first gene therapy trial

Independent•Mar 21, 2025

Scientists find clue to slowing Alzheimer’s symptoms — but research is caught up in Trump funding delays

New York Post•Mar 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Comments

? comments

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Nov 11, 2015

Closes:

Jun 7, 2016

Resolves:

Jun 7, 2016

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 13, 2015

Leber congenital amaurosis

FOX News•Mar 22, 2025

Breakthrough for baby with rare illness in world-first gene therapy trial

Independent•Mar 21, 2025

Scientists find clue to slowing Alzheimer’s symptoms — but research is caught up in Trump funding delays

New York Post•Mar 20, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

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