conditional
if yes
if no
Make a Prediction
Human Transmission of H5N1 Before 2025? | 500k H5Nx influenza cases before 2025? |
|---|---|
| My Prediction: — | |
| My Prediction: — |
What was the final result? No
Community Peer Score
0.2
Community Baseline Score
99.4
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?
Apr 2035
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
1.2%
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
5%
Authors:
Opened:Apr 12, 2024
Closes:Dec 31, 2024
Resolves:Mar 1, 2025
When will human cases of HPAI clade 2.3.4.4b avian influenza exceed 500,000?
Apr 2035
Will CDC report 10,000 or more H5 avian influenza cases in the United States before January 1, 2026?
1.2%
Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N1 globally before 2026?
5%