Question
What will be the largest number of Chinese aircraft violating Taiwan's air defense identification zone (ADIZ) in a single day between August 15 and September 15, 2024?
Resolved:32Total Forecasters51
Community Prediction
34.6
(32.1 - 39.7)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5 | 0.1% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 32.09 | — |
| median | 34.56 | — |
| upper 75% | 39.71 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >65 | 0.4% | — |
What was the final result?32
Community Baseline Score
63.8
Community Peer Score
28.1
Authors:
Opened:Aug 6, 2024
Closes:Sep 1, 2024
Resolves:Sep 16, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 9, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Aug 6, 2024
Closes:Sep 1, 2024
Resolves:Sep 16, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 9, 2024
