18 comments
190 forecasters
Before October 1, 2024, will there be an armed forces death in a conflict opposing China to Taiwan, the United States, the Philippines, or Japan?
0.5%chance
ResolvedNo
The community gave this a 1% chance, and it resolved No.
Authors:
Opened:Jul 8, 2024
Closes:Sep 30, 2024
Resolved:Oct 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 11, 2024