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20 comments
113 forecasters

What will Trump's lead over Biden be on July 15, 2024, according to 538's national polling average?

community
1.9
result
2.2
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
RyanBeck
Opened:Jul 8, 2024
Closes:Jul 14, 2024
Resolved:Jul 17, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 10, 2024
🏆 Q3 2024 Quarterly Cup 🏆
Elections
Politics
🏆 2024 Leaderboard
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Will Donald Trump have a positive net favorability rate on December 20, 2025, according to 538?

1% chance
2.1k

What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?

-10.9
(-14.2 - -7.52)
-10.9
(-14.2 - -7.52)
144 forecasters

Will Trump win the 2024 presidential election and retain supreme executive power past 2028?

3% chance
172
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