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14 comments
16 forecasters

What will be Donald Trump's margin of victory or defeat in these states in 2024?

Alaskaresult: 13.1
Iowaresult: 13.2
Ohioresult: 11.1
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:Jul 16, 2024
Closes:Nov 5, 2024
Resolved:Dec 1, 2024
Elections
Politics
2024 Leaderboard
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When will the Republican presidential nominee next win the state of Massachusetts in a US Presidential Election?

2024
No
2028
1%
2032
5%
6 others
25 forecasters

If at least one US state secedes before 2071, which states will secede?

Texas
49%
California
35%
Florida
20%
47 others
44 forecasters

What will Donald Trump's net approval be on November 2, 2026?

-10.4
(-13.9 - -7.07)
-10.4
(-13.9 - -7.07)
140 forecasters
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