Question

Five years after AGI, will humans be extinct?

5

Total Forecasters138

Community Prediction

2%

(0.1% - 20%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 2%

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Add key factor

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2024

Five Years After AGI

Forecasting AI Futures

Artificial Intelligence

Authors:

Opened:

Jul 22, 2024

Closes:

Jan 1, 2036

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2036

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 23, 2024

Five Years After AGI

Forecasting AI Futures

Artificial Intelligence