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8
70
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5
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70 forecasters
Future Perfect 2019 Series
2 more...
Future Perfect 2019 Series: Q5 - No Democratic presidential candidate will become a clear frontrunner in the political prediction markets at any point in 2019
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2 comments
93 forecasters
Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?
2021-2022
result:
No
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
4%
2027-2028
13%
0 comments
93 forecasters
No debates between nominees in US elections in the following years?
2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
Annulled
2027-2028
7%
11 comments
241 forecasters
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?
Gavin Newsom
25.5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.5%
Pete Buttigieg
7.1%
Other
43.5%
4 others
5 comments
25 forecasters
US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028
1%
chance
4 comments
4 forecasters
Change in Average Inflation Rate 2028 PV Prediction
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will correctly predict the 2028 Popular Vote Winner
60%
"Change in Average Inflation Rate" will be below 0% for the 2028 election
40%
5 comments
50 forecasters
Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Democratic Party
59.9%
Republican Party
40%
Other
0.1%
25 comments
103 forecasters
Yang's Forward Party to take off
1%
chance
0 comments
103 forecasters
Losing US presidential candidate not conceding in these elections?
2021-2022
Annulled
2023-2024
result:
No
2025-2026
Annulled
2027-2028
42%