Question
Five years after AGI, what will be global carbon emissions?
Total Forecasters22
Community Prediction
31.8B billion tonnes
(15.4B billion tonnes - 48.1B billion tonnes)
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CDF
Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
<1B | 0.3% | — |
Quartiles | ||
lower 25% | 15.38B | — |
median | 31.79B | — |
upper 75% | 48.08B | — |
Upper bound | ||
>100B | 11.4% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024
Authors:
Opened:Jul 22, 2024
Closes:Jan 1, 2036
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2036
Spot Scoring Time:Jul 23, 2024