Will there be a "no-deal" Brexit on March 29? [updated version]

This is a duplicate question of Will there be a "no-deal" Brexit? intended to offer updated predictions on the question of a no-deal Brexit. To avoid the double-giving of points for the same question, this question will resolve ambiguous with an added 1/2 chance. Hence, in expectation, this question is worth only half the amount of points of a non-duplicated question.

Will the UK leave the EU without reaching any agreement?

This question resolves positively if a no-deal Brexit occurs on schedule (March 29 2019 at 23:00 UK time). It resolves negatively if Brexit is delayed, or if a deal between the UK and the EU is reached that prevents the UK's leaving before, or on March 29. Otherwise, it resolves ambiguous.

This question also resolves ambiguous if @dailyrandomnums tweets a random dice roll that ends on a 1-3 (inclusive) on March 30th.

Categories: Politics, Politics – European

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