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24 forecasters
4
0 comments
24 forecasters
Elections
condition

RFK Jr. to drop out by Oct 22?

Resolved:Yes
24 forecasters
if yes
if no

2024 US Presidential Election Winner?

45%
45%
Resolved:Yes

2024 US Presidential Election Winner?

45%
45%
Resolved:Annulled
if Yes(Yes)
if No45%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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4 comments3 forecasters

RFK Jr. Gone As HHS Secretary By When?

Current estimate
19 Jan 2028
14 comments247 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

JD Vance44.8%
Ron DeSantis4.7%
Marco Rubio17.7%
Other27%
4 others
13 comments103 forecasters

Will Donald J. Trump vacate the U.S. Presidency before noon Eastern Time on January 20, 2029?

20%chance
11 comments240 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Gavin Newsom26.1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.4%
Pete Buttigieg7.4%
Other43.5%
4 others
5 comments50 forecasters

Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Democratic Party59.9%
Republican Party40%
Other0.1%
7 comments43 forecasters

Donald Trump primary voting factor in 2026 midterms?

99.9%chance
5 comments25 forecasters

US States Won by Non-Major Parties in 2028

1%chance
7 comments24 forecasters

Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache?

10%chance