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How much will an UberX tour of Europe cost in 2024?

A recent NYT article asks whether drivers or riders will pay for Uber's (and Lyft's) future profitability.

This could be impacted by Uber's business model choices, the drivers' and riders' preferences, and technology (which could remove drivers from this equation altogether). This question asks:

What will be the sum of the fares (in 2019 €) of an UberX ride from Tallinn to Amsterdam, from Amsterdam to Lisbon, from Lisbon to Athens on the 12th of June, 2024 at 3PM?

Prices can be queried here. Current prices as of writing are given as follows:

  • Tallinn to Amsterdam: €1013-€1352, with a median of €1183

  • Amsterdam to Lisbon: €2730-€3641, with a median of €3186

  • Lisbon to Athens: €2184-€2913, with a median of €2549

Hence the sum of the medians for each rides is €1183+€3186+€2549=€6918.


  • Resolution is by Uber's estimator, or the app if the former is not available.
    • if only given a range, take the median.
  • Resolves ambiguously if Uber does not exist / does not offer this ride.
  • Resolution timestamp is meant to ignore surge pricing. If we miss it, take the next week day at 15:00.


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