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[Short Fuse] During the 7 days starting August 7th 2019, will the Google search volume for "Hong Kong protest" spike to at least 25% of its all time peak?

Since the 31st of March 2019, Hong Kong has been the stage of mass protests initially against a bill that would facilitate extraditions to China (wikipedia).

As a proxy for the popularity of the protests, we can look at the daily Google search volume for "Hong Kong protest" in Hong Kong (Google Trends).

Question: Between wednesday the 7th of August 2019 and Tuesday the 13th of August 2019 (incl.), will the daily Google search volume for "Hong Kong protest" in Hong Kong go to at least 25% of the 12th of June 2019 value (the record as of writing)?


  • Resolves positive if the linked Google Trends shows any day in the relevant period with a search volume >= 25% of the 12th of June peak.

  • Resolves negative if no day satisfies this criterion.

  • In case of positive resolution, the question will be retroactively closed to the day before the day triggering resolution.

  • Google Trends being inaccessible or fundamentally changing their methodology resolves ambiguous.


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