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Will the Chinese police or military intervene in Hong Kong in August 2019?


Since the 31st of March 2019, Hong Kong has been the stage of mass protests initially against a bill that would facilitate extraditions to China (wikipedia).

On the 6th of August 2019, Chinese officials hardened their rethoric (Reuters: 1, 2, 3), but still did not mention the possibility of direct intervention from the mainland.

This article(fr) identifies three entities under direct chinese authorities which could intervene in Hong Kong:

Question: Will either PLA, PAP, or mainland police personnel physically intervene to oppose protesters in Hong Kong before septembre 1st 2019?

Positive resolution will be by either:

  1. The Chinese or Hong Kong government (or any such government affiliated body) declaring this has happened.
  2. A UN Security Council permanent member government declaring this has happened.
  3. Overwhelming media report this has happened (at least 5 separate first hand accounts, preferably with photographic evidence).

Physical intervention is taken here to mean that at least some personnel of the Chinese police or PLA or PAP is involved in the controlling, dispersing, or arresting people who are involved in a riot, demonstration, or protest in Hong Kong. These personnel may or may not be requested to assist by Hong Kong government, or the Hong Kong police.

The question resolves negatively if evidence in accordance with the above three criteria of the Chinese police or military intervening in August are not found before the end of 7th of September, 2019.

Positive resolution retroactively closes the question 24 hours before the events.


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