10 comments
96 forecasters
When will an AI pass the laugh test?
Current estimate
22 Jan 2026
Key Factors
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Forecast Timeline
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Aug 15, 2019
Closes:Jan 1, 2050
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Aug 17, 2019
