🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will the US Congress's 538 approval rating be greater than or equal to 22.0% on December 30, 2024?

Resolved :No21.3%
60
Total Forecasters31
Community Prediction21.3% (16.8% - 30%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 21.3%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
60.4
Community Peer Score
2.7
Authors:
johnnycaffeine
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Include Bots:Yes
Q4 AI Forecasting Benchmark Tournament

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