Question

Before January 1, 2026, will Israel formally lift its warnings against Palestinians returning to northern Gaza?

Resolved:Yes

16 comments16

Total Forecasters159

Community Prediction

95%

(89% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 95%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

-3.8

Community Peer Score

3.8

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Dec 20, 2024

Closes:

Dec 31, 2025

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2026

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 25, 2024

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