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If WeWork goes public before mid-2020, how much will it be worth one week after its IPO?

WeWork is an American real estate company that provides shared workspaces for technology startups, and services for other enterprises.

Earlier this year, it was valued at about $47bn by SoftBank (BBC), and pitched as a $65 billion business by Goldman Sachs (Bloomberg). Since then, serious concerns about the business and corporate governance have been raised, with some have suggesting that it does not deserve a $20bn price tag (FT). In light of this, WeWork seems to have slashed its targets as The We Company is reported to seek a valuation as low as $15 billion to $18 billion in an initial public offering (Reuters).

If WeWork IPOs before mid-2020, how much will it be worth one week after its IPO, in billions of USD?

This resolves as the market capitalisation of The We Company as implied by its share price on Thursday at 12PM, one week after the We Company's shares are first publicly traded on an exchange. The question resolves ambiguously if The We Company does not IPO before July 2nd 2020, 9AM GMT.

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Use the community stats to get a better sense of the community consensus (or lack thereof) for this question. Sometimes people have wildly different ideas about the likely outcomes, and sometimes people are in close agreement. There are even times when the community seems very certain of uncertainty, like when everyone agrees that event is only 50% likely to happen.

When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.